About the Blog

I shall post videos, graphs, news stories, and other material. We shall use some of this material in class, and you may review the rest at your convenience. I encourage you to use the blog in these ways:

--To post questions or comments about the readings before we discuss them in class;
--To follow up on class discussions with additional comments or questions.
--To post relevant news items or videos.

There are only two major limitations: no coarse language, and no derogatory comments about people at the Claremont Colleges. This blog is on the open Internet, so post nothing that you would not want a potential employer to see.

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

More on the Eightfold Path

Define the problem
  • First internal step: "What's the story" rather than "What's the problem"
  • Lay out a timeline, with other relevant political and policy developments
Assemble some evidence
  • Using analogies K-U-P/L-D
    • Distinguish known from unknown and presumed
    • List similarities and differences
Construct the alternatives

Select the criteria

South Park explains confusion between alternatives and criteria (Bardach pp. 46-47):



Project the outcomes.  Ask:

  • What odds will you give that your presumption proves correct?  What would you bet?
  • What fresh facts would cause you to change your presumption?

Confront the tradeoffs


Decide!
Tell your story

Monday, October 28, 2013

Organizations, Politics, and the Eightfold Path

A followup to  Bardach, Appendix C:  James Q. Wilson, Bureaucracy (New York: Basic Books, 1989), ch. 9:
  • Outputs:  what employees do on a day-to-day basis.
  • Outcomes: how the world changes because of the outputs
Outputs
are visible to managers

are hard for managers to see
Outcomes are
easy to measure
production organization
(tax system) simple repetitive stable tasks; specialized skills.  Easy to stress measurable outputs & outcomes over hard-to-measure (satisfaction)
craft organization
(Forest Service, wartime military) application of general sets of skills to unique tasks, but with stable, similar outcomes. Relies heavily on ethos and sense of duty of workers.
are hard to measure
procedural organizations
(OSHA, peacetime military) specialized skills; stable tasks, but unique outcomes. SOPs are especially important
coping organization
(colleges, police departments) application of generic skills to unique tasks, but outcomes cannot be evaluated in absence of alternatives.  "

Policy Windows
  • Predictable (State of the Union, State of the State)
  • Unpredictable (Policy Lightning)
  • Closing windows:  issue-attention cycle and end-dates
Friend and Foe
  • Supporters
  • Allies:  supporters who will recruit more supporters and neutralize opponents
  • Opponents
What Can Friend and Foe Do?

  • In Government
    • Votes
    • Cosponsorships
    • Hearings and reports
  • Interest Group Community
    • Statements, testimony, amicus briefs
    • Reports and op-eds
    • Advertising and grassroots mobilization
    • Direct lobbying
    • Political campaign activity

Resources Available to Friends and Foes
  • Debts:  The Favor Bank
  • Power status:  majority/minority
  • Expertise and information
  • Size and motivation of membership
  • Money
  • Polls
Identifying Friend and Foe
  • Policy History
  • Current statements and comments
  • Cosponsorships
  • Polls
The Eightfold Path
  1. Define the problem
  2. Assemble some evidence
  3. Construct the alternatives
  4. Select the criteria
  5. Project the outcomes
  6. Confront the trade-offs
  7.  Decide!
  8. Tell your story 

Saturday, October 26, 2013

A Problem with Political SurveysThat Look at Voter Knowledge

I have read numerous articles recently that have shown how low the average citizens' knowledge of government is (i.e., only 50% of citizens can name all 3 branches of government...). For my thesis on the initiative process, I uncovered an article arguing that these statistics are often inflated, and make the average citizen look bad, because: 1) the surveys do not offer incentives for getting the correct answer (while voting arguably does), and 2) surveys often leave little time for contemplation, research, etc., (unlike voting). By accounting for these two elements (through a monetary incentive and more time), those who did the survey answer in much higher percentages (increases ranging from 11-40%).

Check it out if this topic interests you. Just another example of statistics that are often misleading or wrong.

http://www-personal.umich.edu/~lupia/Papers/Prior_Lupia_AJPS_2008.pdf

Friday, October 25, 2013

Sources on Best Practices


Data Questions in the News

On your first paper, several of you wrote about college sexual-assault data.  You scooped this US News article (on the AEI website).

In a few weeks, we shall look at chapter 8 of Maier and Imazeki, which considers the "poverty line" that economist Mollie Orshansky devised 50 years ago.  At The Los Angeles Times, John Schwarz writes:
An honest poverty line would clarify how many Americans are poor and yet ineligible for assistance that would allow them to afford the very basics that the assistance programs were intended to provide. It would show that a far higher proportion of the poor than politicians or the public are aware of are hard workers; many millions of them are already in year-round full-time jobs. And perhaps most important, the large numbers of the poor, now and in relation to the past, would help us understand the serious harm inflicted on demand in the economy, which in turn limits business and contributes significantly to the economy's sluggish growth.
Both for the sake of simple justice and to stop fooling ourselves, and causing great harm to the economy, we should celebrate the 50th anniversary of Mollie Orshansky's calculation by doing it right in 2013.

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Now What Do We Do?

Things Governments Do:

Oral Presentations

We shall soon begin oral presentations in class. In each oral presentation, a student will speak for no more than five minutes, and then take questions for another five.

In your presentation, you should make a specific policy recommendation to the government official who has the most authority to deal with this issue.  See our previous discussion here.

Your recommendation may deal with any domestic issue at any level of American government. It should involve a subject on which there is real debate. It should be significant, yet manageable enough to analyze in a five-minute presentation. (That is, you will probably not be able to offer a comprehensive solution to the federal debt problem.)

It should also concern a topic that you care about, yet can discuss in a professional manner.

Use data to define the problem. You may present tables or graphs in a blog post, to which you may refer during your presentation.  You may also use PowerPoint.  See a guide here.  But beware of PowerPoint Poison.

Read these useful guidelines for oral presentations: http://www.auburn.edu/~burnsma/oralpres.html

Watch this video:

Campaign Finance Policy Issue

A fascinating 60 minutes video on a loophole in federal law that allows for politicians to use their leadership PACs to spend money on lavish personal items. Also delves into how campaigns (especially in non-competitive races) pay family members tens of thousands of dollars to work on their campaigns. This might be good issues for someone to look into for their final policy paper.

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

more on who bears the tax burden

looking at Boxes 11.2 and 11.3 and the broader conversation on taxes and tax rates in Maier there seemed to be something he didn't mention. There was a recent CBO report which raised the point that the question of tax rates is more complicated than initially appears. For low/moderate income workers this is more interesting than the Mankiw example because of means-tested programs being phased out at higher income levels and suggesting that for some families 11.3 will be wrong and increased earnings will yield negative net income.








more     articles on CBO report



Halftime Report

Data sources



The Reg Map

 


"Government Climate Change"


Monday, October 14, 2013

Implementation, Administration, and Risk

More research tips

House Report on Katrina

Brown's side of the story:




Balancing security and rights:


Second Assignment

CMC Government 116
Professor Pitney
Second Essay Assignment
14 October 2013

Pick one:

  1. Propose a change in the organizational structure of the Department of Homeland Security.  Explain why the change is necessary and how you would secure the necessary political support.  See, especially, Kettl and Appendix D of Bardach.
  2. Answer any of the “case study” questions that Maier and Imazeki pose at the end of their chapters.
  3. Bardach (pp. 15-16) suggests that an early step in offering a policy proposal consists of surveying “best practices.” With Stone’s analysis in mind, explain why this step is harder that it looks at first.  Use a specific example (e.g, from the areas of health care, welfare, law enforcement) to make your point.
  4. Write a four-page answer to the question in the Inaugural Prize Competition.  The answer, of course, must deal with a topic relevant to this class.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  • Whichever essay you choose, do research to document your claims.  Do not write from the top of your head.  
  • Essays should be typed, double-spaced, and no more than four pages long.  I will not read past the fourth page.
  • Cite your sources with endnotes, which should be in a standard style (e.g., Turabian or Chicago Manual of Style).  Endnote pages do not count against the page limit.
  • Watch your spelling, grammar, diction, and punctuation.  Errors will count against you.
  • Turn in essays via Sakai by the start of class, Monday, October 28.  Please send them as Word documents (not pdfs) to the course dropbox. Late essays will drop a gradepoint for one day’s lateness, a full letter grade after that.  I will grant no extensions except for illness or emergency. 


Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Implementation and Homeland Security

GETTING DATA DURING THE SHUTDOWN

From the government point of view:  the complexity of joint action.

Path dependency







A Sample Truman Policy Proposal

The application for the Truman Scholarship includes a policy proposal that is similar to our 6-page assignment, except that it is shorter.

See tips here, and a sample below.

To: Janet Office
Office Held: United States Secretary of Education
Issue: Fetal Alcohol Syndrome Awareness in Higher Education

Problem Statement

Every child born with Fetal Alcohol Syndrome (FAS) is unjustly handicapped by the alcohol  consumption habits of his or her mother. The leading, preventable cause of birth defects in the US  is alcohol, with FAS resulting in the most extreme cases (Floyd and Sidhu, 2004). Approximately  half a million pregnant women report alcohol use each year, and 80,000 report binge drinking  (Floyd and Sidhu, 2004).

Binge drinking among young women ages 18-44 is on the rise, increasing by 13 percent in a  recent three-year period (Gardner, 2004). Binge drinking puts women at an increased risk for  unintentional pregnancies and means they are more likely to drink while pregnant. These statistics  are evidence of a major public health problem in the United States.

Low levels of FAS awareness in the nation ultimately contribute to the unwanted  conception of FAS children. The 2002 National Health Interview Surveys found that 73% of  women and only 55% of men have a measurable awareness of FAS (Nation et al., 2003),  indicating that substantial numbers remain unaware of the dangers of alcohol consumption during  pregnancy.

Proposed Solution

My proposed solution is to increase FAS awareness in higher education. Support would be  sought from the US Department of Education's Policy and Program Studies Service, as its mission  statement is in line with my project goals ("US Department of Education," 2004). Monies would  be requested from the Fund for the Improvement of Post-Secondary Education (FIPSE), to be  spent on prevention and intervention though education ("Office of Postsecondary Education,"  2004). Prevention education would address both FAS and binge drinking in higher education and  in future marital relations.

The awareness program would be delivered via First-Year Experience (FYE) classes, also  known as First-Year Seminars (FYS). According to Bradley Cox of the National Resource Center  for the First-Year Experience and Students and Transition, over 621 institutions of higher  education host FYE/FYS programs (Cox, 2004), making them a standardized setting for the  delivery of the FAS program. FIPSE monies would be promoted to higher education institutions  across the country to thereby increase FAS awareness and decrease the future conception of FAS  children.

If successful, this program could be adapted for future intervention in public high schools  and community colleges.

Major Obstacles/Implementation Challenges

There exist three significant challenges to the implementation of this FAS program. A  realistic proposal would be needed to promote the curricular addition of FAS into FYE/FYS  classes across the country. FYE courses are highly variable, both in conception and credit hours,  and therefore the program will need to be comprehensive and concise enough as to be a  reasonable addition.

The second challenge would include the delivery of the program by a professor. One major  reason for the failure of prevention programs to date has been poorly trained presenters (Nation et  al., 2003). An efficient, comprehensive training program would be needed to maximize program  effectiveness. Coordination with established on-campus groups such as residence life and  counseling programs would be ideal.

Thirdly, the FAS program must be established in a way pertinent to the college student's  life and so that students take it seriously. College students do not engage in risky drinking habits  with the intention of getting pregnant. Therefore the connection of risky drinking habits to the  birth of FAS children can be difficult to establish.

References, Footnotes, and Exhibits

Cox, Bradley. Personal Communication. 2004.
Floyd, RL and Sidhu SS. Monitoring Prenatal Alcohol Exposure. American Journal of 
Medical Genetics, Vol 127C, 33-39, 2004.
Gardner, Amanda. "Report: Binge Drinking on Rise in Young Women." Health Day. 23 June
 2004. <http://www3.komotv.com/Global/story.asp?S=1965365>
Golden, Janet. "An Argument That Goes Back to the Womb: The Demedicalization of
Fetal Alcohol Syndrome, 1973-1992. Journal of Social History, Winter 1999.
<http://www.fmdarticles.eom/p/articles/mi_m2005/is_2_33/ai_58675447>
Nation et al. "What Works in Prevention: Principles of Effective Prevention Programs."
American Psychologist, June/July 2003, Vol 58, No 6/7,449-456.
"Office of Postsecondary Education - Programs Fund for the Improvement of Postsecondary
Education (FIPSE)." 26 November 2004.
<http://www.ed.gov/about/offices/list/ope/fipse/index.html>
"US Department of Education Principal Office Functional Statements: Office of the Secretary &
Deputy Secretary." 26 November 2004.
<http://www.ede.gov/about/offices/list/om/fs_po/osods/policy.html

Monday, October 7, 2013

Common Core, Decentralization, & Coordination

Governor Brown recently signed AB 484, which ends previous standardized testing procedures and creates a trial run for new testing procedures. These will be computerized and correspond with the new Common Core. This is a good example of coordination, because the federal government is promoting these policies by incentivizing states to adopt these standards. States that adopt these standards qualify for Race to the Top grants.

It is also an example of decentralization, as some states have adopted these standards with slight variations. For example, Minnesota has adopted the English Language Arts standards, but not mathematics.

Implementation and Administration

Stone (p. 362) is wildly wrong about African American voter mobilization. Also see Obama legacy report, p. 26
-------------------------------------------------

Vertical Organization:  Federalism: -- over 89,000 governments in the United States

Horizontal -- Organization Charts

Privatization: forms

From the government point of view:  the complexity of joint action.

Government from the point of view of the average person:  the classic set of charts on "Understanding Systems That Affect Families"


Wednesday, October 2, 2013

More on Interests, Decisions

Campaign Finance Reform

This morning, when I picked up the NY Times in the dining hall, a story about campaign finance reform was on the front page.

The Supreme Court is going to hear a case next Tuesday on the topic of limitations to individual contributions to political candidates. The issue is not over how much an individual can donate, but the number of candidates an individual can contribute to. The current limit is 17.

My question: Why, if so many citizens feel passionately about Citizens United, is campaign finance reform a topic that is decided by the judiciary? Legislators (Sen. McCain for instance) have tried to address this problem from the legislative branch, but to little avail.